Who would have guessed that, at the time of his most critical decision, Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan would be doing a military sample of the 1. Genesis prog- rock song, Ripples?“If we want to understand the ripples we are creating, we have to understand the environment we are creating them in,” Sajjan said last week. He was being asked—as he is on an almost daily basis—when he will reveal details about the long promised Liberal plan to pull out CF- 1.

Iraq and Syria. Apparently this “ripple effect” theory is the “genesis” of the long delay. But we get the gist: The decisions he makes now will have an impact on the future. The problem is, the future is already here. The Conservative mandate for the mission is up by the end of March. If the Liberals were not ready with an alternative plan—and clearly they weren’t—why didn’t they just say they would complete the original mandate and then end it?

Pulling out now, after more than 1. Related: Why Trudeau’s crass stance on Syria is lose- lose. Free Download The Show (2017) Movie on this page.

But as politically charged as the bombing mission is, it is really nothing compared to the deeper funding crisis facing the military. Perry is to military procurement what Nate Silver is to polling, so when he crunches the numbers on the military budget you tend to listen. It would cost the government another $2 billion a year for 2. Air Force, the Army, the Navy—and upgrade our technology for the North American Aerospace Defense Command (the NORAD commander comes to Canada later in February to demand those upgrades).

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Meanwhile, NATO is asking Canada to fulfill its commitment to contribute two per cent of our GDP to military spending. That would mean another $2.

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Not happening, NATO. Because it’s 2. 01. And we’re still broke. Fulfilling the military promises Trudeau made in the campaign looks equally unlikely. There’s no way to save on planes and still have a viable air force. Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan speaks during a conference on foreign affairs in Ottawa on Friday, Jan. The government has budgeted $2.

Any savings on jets—at best a few billion—won’t make a dent in this. Related: The sinking of the Canadian Navy. The status quo alone is fatal. The bare minimum is supposed to be 2. And the chances of new money coming? Given the other Santa Claus- like promises Trudeau has made on infrastructure and health care, more money to defence is about as likely as Stephen Harper asking women to wear a niqab. Cuts, cancellations or constriction.

This is not all the Liberals’ fault. Since 2. 00. 7, the Conservatives lapsed over $1. They turned military procurement into a game of freeze tag: whatever they touched stopped moving altogether—from military jets to joint support ships, maritime helicopters to the tactical armoured patrol vehicles. But if the Conservatives—and the Martin Liberals—didn’t spend, at least they did what NATO insiders call “swimming.” They took on tough missions in Afghanistan and Libya. That got Canada to the table, even with a light wallet. Trudeau says he’s out of that game, which is why Perry is not surprised Canada was not invited by our allies to the recent meeting on Syria and Iraq. If we don’t spend and we don’t swim, we get shut out.

Trudeau likes to say Canada is back, but unless he has a big budget surprise for the military, we may be back to the decade of darkness that once defined the military under Jean Chr. These aren’t ripples. These are full- size waves.